Albany
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 84.2148Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 9- 6 215 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 6-15 221 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 13-12 225 H Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 14- 9 228 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 11-12 307 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 16-13 311 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 16- 4 314 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 9 321 H Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 19-10 324 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 8-10 328 H Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 12-11 330 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 5-22 404 A UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 14- 9 411 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 9- 8 418 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 4-14 501 N Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 12-11 503 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 13-11 508 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 7-21
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 A Holy Cross 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.76
215 A Stony Brook 6-15 -9 -11 1.86
221 H Harvard 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.22
225 H Niagara 14- 9 5 7 - -2.23
228 A Connecticut 11-12 -1 -2 1.46
307 A Colgate 16-13 3 2 1.50
311 H Wagner 16- 4 12 12 0.37
314 A New Hampshire 16- 9 7 7 0.01
321 H Massachusetts-Lowell 19-10 9 6 + 2.59
324 H Syracuse 8-10 -2 -8 ++ 5.50
328 H Binghamton 12-11 1 6 -- -4.58
330 H Boston College 5-22 -17 -7 --- -6.85
404 A UMBC 14- 9 5 2 + 2.77
411 H Bryant 9- 8 1 2 -0.96
418 A Vermont 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.61
501 N Bryant 12-11 1 1 0.41
503 A Vermont 13-11 2 0 + 2.39
508 A Johns Hopkins 7-21 -14 -11 - -2.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Boston College 5-22 -17 -7 --- -6.85 418 A Vermont 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.61 328 H Binghamton 12-11 1 6 -- -4.58 225 H Niagara 14- 9 5 7 - -2.23 508 A Johns Hopkins 7-21 -14 -11 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Harvard 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.22 324 H Syracuse 8-10 -2 -8 ++ 5.50 210 A Holy Cross 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.76 321 H Massachusetts-Lowell 19-10 9 6 + 2.59 404 A UMBC 14- 9 5 2 + 2.77 503 A Vermont 13-11 2 0 + 2.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 9- 6 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.96 48.60
0 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 6-15 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.96 -2.32
0 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 13-12 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 0.96 53.32
0 H Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 14- 9 -21.55 18.62 -1.37 0.96 33.20
0 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 11-12 -14.59 25.58 1.37 0.96 -6.36
0 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 16-13 -18.56 21.61 1.37 0.96 44.23
0 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 16- 4 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 0.96 24.74
0 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 9 -24.04 16.13 1.37 0.96 33.68
0 H Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 19-10 -20.72 19.44 -1.37 0.96 34.79
0 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 8-10 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 0.96 -3.94
0 H Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 12-11 -19.89 20.27 -1.37 0.96 36.39
0 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 5-22 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 0.96 -4.11
0 A UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 14- 9 -19.29 20.88 1.37 0.96 42.83
0 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 9- 8 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 0.96 43.35
0 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 4-14 -16.66 23.51 1.37 0.96 -7.36
0 N Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 12-11 -16.28 23.89 -0.00 0.96 45.99
0 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 13-11 -16.66 23.51 1.37 0.96 47.88
0 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 7-21 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.96 -2.07
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462.83
|
winning pts = 488.9944 losing points = -26.1623
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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